London, United Kingdom. 12 April.
No, this is not a blog about a peripatetic, super-sized member of the gay
community. In 2017 HMS Queen Elizabeth, ‘the mighty Queen’ will sail south from
Rosyth in Scotland to HM Dockyard Portsmouth, the home of the fleet flagship,
Nelson’s HMS Victory. At 72,500 ton (fully-loaded) and with her sister ship HMS
Prince of Wales this ‘super’ aircraft carrier will be the largest ship ever
commissioned into the Royal Navy. This past week saw the handover of command from
First Sea Lord Admiral Sir George Zambellas, who I have had the honour on
occasions to support, to Admiral Sir Philip Jones. Therefore, it is a good
moment to consider not just the military-operational role of these ships, but
also the strategic–political role, which is at least as important.
The moment HMS Queen Elizabeth is
commissioned she will have to play many roles. Her first strategic-political
task will be to remind the British people that the UK remains a top five world
power. As such both ships will rapidly become icons, part of Britain’s
strategic influence brand, both abroad and to its own people.
She will also need to demonstrate
Britain’s position at the heart of European defence, whatever the outcome of
the June Brexit referendum. To that end, the ‘QE’ will need to be put front and
centre of a coalition of allied and European navies. Whatever Europe’s
institutional arrangements, and the obsession Germans and some smaller European
powers have with institutions, it is still power which is the driving factor in
influence. For Britain the ‘QE’ will be testament to that reality.
However, the first mission of the
ship must be to go west. Together with Type 45 destroyers and new Astute-class
nuclear-attack submarines as soon as the ‘QE’ takes on her first F35B fast jets
she must sail to Norfolk, Virginia, the east coast home of the United States
Navy and thence to Halifax, in Canada.
The greatest threat to NATO is
the coming reckoning with American politicians over burden—sharing. Yes, I
know, the burden-sharing row has been going on for many years. However, in the
past America could afford to pay for Europe’s defence. No longer. First, there
will also soon be a reckoning for America’s enormous deficit that will impact
on public services, including the US military. Second, the United States is now
facing a zweifrontenskrieg, a two front war, of global proportions. Americans
will simply not put up with a bunch of free-riding Europeans anymore. And, it is
not just the strategically-illiterate Donald Trump who is saying that.
It is therefore vital that
Britain sails the Mighty Queen into Norfolk as soon as possible together with a
full British carrier strike group even if that stretches the Royal Navy to its operational
limit. She should then conduct several days of ship visits for senior American
politicians, commentators and military commanders. The message, apart from
sticking two fingers up to John Paul Jones in his own backyard? There is at least
one European ally willing to invest in the kind of high-end military kit that
NATO desperately needs and that the United Kingdom will again be willing and
able to ease the burden on the United States.
Having performed her first act of
strategic diplomacy with Britain’s American ally the ‘QE’ should then sail
north to Halifax. At some point on that voyage the United States Navy would
hand over escort of the British carrier strike group to the Royal Canadian
Navy. First, the appearance on the horizon of the strike group flying the White
Ensign rather than the US Ensign will remind Canadians of the enduring link
between Britain and Canada. Second, it will show Canadians that Britain is
still a power to be reckoned with and that the Anglosphere floats and fires. Third,
as the Canadian Government considers further cuts to its defence budget and
another shift from hard to soft power the Mighty Queen will send an important
message. That a Canada with three contested oceans to its east, north and west needs
a powerful, modern navy, able to operate alongside powerful allies, such as
America and Britain.
A century ago next month
Britain’s mighty Grand Fleet engaged and defeated the German High Seas Fleet at
the Battle of Jutland. In fact, the Germans sank more British ships than the
Royal Navy sank German. However, such was the might of the Royal Navy and the
enormous steel trap the Germans sailed into that the defeat was crushing. The
defeat was not the result of inferior German materiel, far from it. It was
primarily because the German commanders already suffered from an inferiority
complex about the Royal Navy.
A century on the United States
Navy still enjoys the mantle of absolute superiority it inherited from the Royal
Navy. Today, American military superiority is frayed around the edges. For
Britain and the Royal Navy to demonstrate now both the capability and will to
help keep America strong will go a very long way to spiking the coming
burden-sharing row. It will also demonstrate determination to maintain what is
after all the key factor in deterrence; power.
Julian Lindley-French
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